The adventure of the mercenaries in Venezuela has managed to divert attention from the determining problem: the departure from power of the Nicolás Maduro. With the resignation of the two advisers of Juan Guaidó who set up the fudge, we can end the internal controversy in the legitimate Venezuelan government.
A series of unfortunate events created this, which has been the first major internal crisis in the Guaidó team. There have certainly been other shocks – the influx of humanitarian aid, the events in Cúcuta and the insurrection of April 30, 2019 – but none of these had shaken the opposition unit beyond the minority groups that make life at the extremes. This time, the opposition parties that support the interim presidency immediately distanced themselves from that path, emphasizing the formation of a Government of National Emergency as the only real way out of the crisis. Justice First, the party with the highest parliamentary representation in the opposition ranks, went further by making public its request that advisers Sergio Vergara and Juan José Rendón were dismissed. The aurinegros were the ones who took the step publicly, but the discomfort was palpable in the rest of the tents.
Guaidó’s response was an ambiguous, canned and insubstantial speech that ended up lighting the meadow. Of the same it can only be rescued that he distanced himself from the adventures of Rendón and Vergara, characters of the picaresque politics that should never have had so much power – although the theory that Guaidó took advantage of the incident to get rid of characters who prefer not to have as enemies. The fact is that on Monday we woke up with the resignation of both.
The fable of the mercenaries will remain for the annals of the ‘Historia Bufa’. The Maduro regime loses, with the resignation of Rendón and Vergara, the wick of the fudge it intends to turn into its Bay of Pigs. This conspiracy, with everything and its legitimacy, lived up to an opera buffa, with the dramatic point that it ended with dead and prisoners that the dictatorship did not finish formally identifying.
About Rendón and Vergara, how did you come up with the idea of putting out a mercenary invasion to international bids? How did you come to sign, sign !, a contract for these purposes? How could it not have occurred to them that they were part of a legitimate government, not of a rebel group, and therefore could not act in parallel with the Law? How did it occur to you to turn your back on internal and external allies? How did it occur to you not to find out that the chosen mercenary is a mentally handicapped, thus diagnosed by the Veterans Administration of War of United States? Too many blunders for those who charge millions for their advice. And, being mercenaries themselves, it is worth wondering if there was someone who paid them more.
Keeping those questions in the brain’s safe, now it’s time to redirect the fight towards the only real thing that exists to get out of the Venezuelan crisis: the formation of a National Emergency Government. For that, some part of Chavismo is still vital. And the National Armed Force that, strangely, she did not take the baton of the Maduro regime’s response to the alleged mercenary invasion, she who gets into everything even if it does not correspond to her. The gray response suggests that Vladimir Padrino López and his clique Moscow The instruction to negotiate an orderly transition has not changed, the point at which we stayed a couple of weeks ago.
Along these same lines, we said that the only thing that could disrupt this transition to democracy is the same thing that, on other occasions, had ruined everything: the egos. And also in these same lines we told them, a couple of months ago, that Guaidó should be careful with his surroundings, recommending the ease with which he Adolfo Suarez a similar situation occurred. President, that this environment does not continue to intoxicate your greatest support, that which is the guarantee even of international support. Don’t let them take you away from political parties and other internal institutions. Don’t look for God in the corners.
*** Francisco Poleo is an analyst specialized in Latin America and the United States.